{"id":221030,"date":"2026-01-30T14:29:16","date_gmt":"2026-01-30T07:29:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/visionthai.net\/?p=221030"},"modified":"2026-01-30T14:29:16","modified_gmt":"2026-01-30T07:29:16","slug":"thailand-election-polls-peoples-party-natthaphong-lead","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/visionthai.net\/zh-hans\/article\/thailand-election-polls-peoples-party-natthaphong-lead\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7eb3\u5854\u5f6d\u6709\u671b\u6210\u6cf0\u56fd\u65b0\u603b\u7406\uff1f\u6700\u65b0\u6c11\u8c03\u4eba\u6c11\u515a\u5927\u5e45\u9886\u5148"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u3010\u770b\u89c1\u6cf0\u56fd VisionThai\u3011\u8ddd\u79bb2\u67088\u65e5\u6cf0\u56fd\u5927\u9009\u4e0d\u5230\u4e24\u5468\uff0c\u6700\u65b0\u6c11\u8c03\u663e\u793a\u5728\u91ce\u7684\u4eba\u6c11\u515a(People’s Party)\u53ca\u5176\u9886\u8896<\/span>\u7eb3\u5854\u5f6d<\/span><\/a>(Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut)<\/span>\u6301\u7eed\u6269\u5927\u9886\u5148\u4f18\u52bf\u3002\u591a\u9879\u6c11\u8c03\u4e00\u81f4\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u4eba\u6c11\u515a\u652f\u6301\u5ea6\u7a33\u5b9a\u572830-40%\u4e4b\u95f4\uff0c\u800c\u73b0\u4efb\u603b\u7406<\/span>\u963f\u52aa\u5ef7<\/span><\/a>(Anutin Charnvirakul)\u9886\u5bfc\u7684\u6cf0\u81ea\u8c6a\u515a(Bhumjaithai)\u5219\u51fa\u73b0\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff0c\u4e3a\u6cf0\u515a(Pheu Thai)\u652f\u6301\u5ea6\u56de\u5347\u8dc3\u5c45\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4f4d\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u6839\u636e\u6cf0\u56fd\u7687\u5bb6\u5927\u5b66\u8054\u76df(Rajabhat Poll)1\u670819\u81f325\u65e5\u9488\u5bf9\u5168\u56fd11,700\u540d\u9009\u6c11\u7684\u8c03\u67e5\uff0c\u4eba\u6c11\u515a\u5728\u653f\u515a\u6bd4\u4f8b\u4ee3\u8868\u9009\u7968\u4e2d\u83b7\u5f9738.8%\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u7a33\u5c45\u7b2c\u4e00\u3002\u4e3a\u6cf0\u515a\u4e0a\u53475.4\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u81f317.9%\u8dc3\u5c45\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff0c\u81ea\u8c6a\u515a\u5219\u4e0b\u6ed15.7\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u81f315.6%\u964d\u81f3\u7b2c\u4e09\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u5728\u603b\u7406\u4eba\u9009\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7eb3\u5854\u5f6d\u83b7\u5f9739.2%\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u8f83\u53bb\u5e7412\u6708\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u53476.7\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff0c\u8fdc\u8d85\u4e3a\u6cf0\u515a<\/span>\u7ea6\u67e5\u5357\u00b7\u7fc1\u6c99\u74e6(Yodchanan Wongsawat)<\/span>\u768415.9%\u548c\u963f\u52aa\u5ef7\u768415.2%\u3002\u963f\u52aa\u5ef7\u7684\u652f\u6301\u5ea6\u8f83\u4e0a\u6b21\u8c03\u67e5\u4e0b\u6ed19.2\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff0c<\/span>\u7ea6\u67e5\u5357<\/span>\u5219\u4e0a\u53477.5\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a(Democrat Party)\u9886\u8896\u3001\u524d\u603b\u7406<\/span>\u827e\u6bd4\u5e0c(Abhisit Vejjajiva)<\/span>\u83b7\u5f979.1%\u652f\u6301\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u7a0d\u65e9\u8fdb\u884c\u7684\u5176\u4ed6\u6c11\u8c03\u4e5f\u5448\u73b0\u76f8\u540c\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002\u56fd\u5bb6\u53d1\u5c55\u7ba1\u7406\u5b66\u9662(NIDA)1\u6708\u521d\u7684\u8c03\u67e5\u663e\u793a\u4eba\u6c11\u515a\u83b7\u5f9730.4%\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u7eb3\u5854\u5f6d\u5728\u603b\u7406\u4eba\u9009\u4e0a\u83b7\u5f9724.76%\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u8f83\u4e0a\u6708\u768417.2%\u5927\u5e45\u56de\u5347\u3002\u5ba3\u675c\u5ddd\u767b\u559c\u5927\u5b66(Suan Dusit)\u7684\u6c11\u8c03\u4e5f\u663e\u793a\u4eba\u6c11\u515a\u4ee534.2%\u9886\u5148\uff0c\u7eb3\u5854\u5f6d\u83b7\u5f9732%\u652f\u6301\u6392\u540d\u7b2c\u4e00\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u7eb3\u5854\u5f6d\u652f\u6301\u5ea6\u7684\u56de\u5347\u683c\u5916\u5f15\u4eba\u6ce8\u76ee\u3002\u4ed6\u7684\u652f\u6301\u5ea6\u66fe\u4ece2025\u5e74\u521d\u768431.48%\u4e0b\u6ed1\u81f3\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u5ea6\u768417.2%\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd1\u671f\u5df2\u660e\u663e\u56de\u5347\u3002\u5206\u6790\u4eba\u58eb\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u9009\u6218\u8fdb\u5165\u6700\u540e\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u90fd\u5e02\u9009\u6c11\u7684\u5173\u6ce8\u70b9\u53ef\u80fd\u4ece\u53bb\u5e7412\u6708<\/span>\u67ec\u57d4\u5be8\u8fb9\u5883\u51b2\u7a81<\/span><\/a>\u671f\u95f4\u7684\u6c11\u65cf\u4e3b\u4e49\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u91cd\u65b0\u8f6c\u5411\u4eba\u6c11\u515a\u4e3b\u5f20\u7684\u6539\u9769\u8bae\u9898\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u8b66\u5bdf\u6539\u9769\u3001\u53f8\u6cd5\u6539\u9769\u548c\u53cd\u8d2a\u8150\u63aa\u65bd\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u7eb3\u5854\u5f6d\u5728\u8138\u4e66\u56de\u5e94\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u300c\u5982\u679c\u4eba\u6c11\u515a\u83b7\u5f97\u6388\u6743\u7ec4\u5efa\u653f\u5e9c\uff0c\u6c11\u4f17\u4fe1\u4efb\u6211\u4eec\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5df2\u51c6\u5907\u597d\u5c06\u9009\u7968\u8f6c\u5316\u4e3a\u653f\u5e9c\u7ec4\u5efa\uff0c\u5e76\u5b9e\u73b0\u5207\u5b9e\u7684\u6539\u53d8\u3002\u300d<\/span><\/p>\n

\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4eba\u6c11\u515a\u5728\u6c11\u8c03\u4e2d\u9886\u5148\uff0c\u653f\u6cbb\u89c2\u5bdf\u5bb6\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u6cf0\u56fd\u9009\u533a\u5c42\u7ea7\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u52bf\u529b\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u81ea\u8c6a\u515a\u5728\u5730\u65b9\u7684\u52a8\u5458\u80fd\u529b\u53ef\u80fd\u8ba9\u5176\u5b9e\u9645\u5e2d\u6b21\u4f18\u4e8e\u6c11\u8c03\u8868\u73b0\u3002\u90e8\u5206\u4e13\u5bb6\u9884\u4f30\u81ea\u8c6a\u515a\u53ef\u80fd\u83b7\u5f97\u7ea6140\u81f3150\u5e2d\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\u56fd\u4f1a\u6700\u5927\u515a\u3002\uff08\u5ef6\u4f38\u9605\u8bfb\uff1a<\/span>2026\u6cf0\u56fd\u603b\u7406\u4e4b\u4e89\uff1a\u4fdd\u5b88\u6d3e\u3001\u6539\u9769\u6d3e\u3001\u5854\u514b\u8f9b\u5bb6\u65cf\u4e09\u8def\u5bf9\u51b3<\/span><\/a>\uff09
\n<\/span><\/p>\n

\u6838\u7a3f\uff1a\u9648\u97e6\u5982<\/p>\n

\u5c01\u9762\u6765\u6e90\uff1a\u7f51\u7edc\u5408\u56fe<\/p>\n

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\u770b\u66f4\u591a<\/span>\u6cf0\u56fd\u65b0\u95fb<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n