{"id":211203,"date":"2025-07-18T10:21:52","date_gmt":"2025-07-18T03:21:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/visionthai.net\/?p=211203"},"modified":"2025-07-19T01:26:15","modified_gmt":"2025-07-18T18:26:15","slug":"thailand-trade-experts-analysis-tariff-competitiveness","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/visionthai.net\/zh-hans\/article\/thailand-trade-experts-analysis-tariff-competitiveness\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6cf0\u56fd\u8d38\u6613\u8c08\u5224\u5206\u6b67\uff01\u4ea7\u4e1a\u754c\u5fe7\u8ba9\u6b65\u3001\u4e13\u5bb6\u5401\u53d1\u5c55\u4f18\u52bf"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u3010\u770b\u89c1\u6cf0\u56fd Vision Thai\u3011\u9762\u5bf9\u8d8a\u5357\u548c\u5370\u5c3c\u76f8\u7ee7\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u8fbe\u6210\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u6cf0\u56fd\u5404\u754c\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u8c08\u5224\u7b56\u7565\u51fa\u73b0\u5206\u6b67\u3002\u4ea7\u4e1a\u754c\u62c5\u5fe7\u8fc7\u5ea6\u8ba9\u6b65\u53ef\u80fd\u4f24\u5bb3\u672c\u571f\u4f01\u4e1a\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u547c\u5401\u51c6\u5907\u5b8c\u5584\u7f13\u89e3\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u4e13\u5bb6\u5219\u8ba4\u4e3a25-30%\u5173\u7a0e\u6c34\u51c6\u4ecd\u5177\u7ade\u4e89\u529b\uff0c\u4e0d\u5fc5\u5b8c\u5168\u8ddf\u968f\u90bb\u56fd\u811a\u6b65\u3002\u8fd9\u573a\u56f4\u7ed5\u5173\u7a0e\u8c08\u5224\u7684\u8fa9\u8bba\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u51fa\u6cf0\u56fd\u5728\u5168\u7403\u8d38\u6613\u91cd\u7ec4\u4e2d\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u590d\u6742\u6311\u6218\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5982\u4f55\u5728\u5f00\u653e\u4e0e\u4fdd\u62a4\u4e4b\u95f4\u627e\u5230\u5e73\u8861\u70b9\u3002\uff08\u5ef6\u4f38\u770b\uff1a<a href=\"https:\/\/visionthai.net\/zh-hans\/article\/trump-imposes-36-percent-tariffs-thailand-14-countries\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u6cf0\u56fd\u906d\u7f8e\u56fd\u8bfe\u5f8136%\u91cd\u7a0e\uff01<\/a>\uff09<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u6cf0\u56fd\u5de5\u4e1a\u8054\u5408\u4f1a(Federation of Thai Industries, FTI)\u526f\u4e3b\u5e2d\u7eb3\u74e6\u00b7\u8a79\u5854\u7eb3\u82cf\u62c9\u5b54(Nava Chantanasurakon)\u8868\u8fbe\u5f3a\u70c8\u62c5\u5fe7\uff0c\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8d8a\u5357\u548c\u5370\u5c3c\u6210\u529f\u8c08\u5224\u5e76\u540c\u610f\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u5546\u54c1\u964d\u81f30%\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u8feb\u4f7f\u6cf0\u56fd\u505a\u51fa\u7c7b\u4f3c\u8ba9\u6b65\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u6bd4\u8f83\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u5e73\u8861\uff0c\u6cf0\u56fd2024\u5e74\u5f55\u5f97450\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u987a\u5dee\uff0c\u662f\u5370\u5c3c\u76842.5\u500d\u3002\u4f46\u4ecd\u4e0d\u6e05\u695a\u4e3a\u4f55\u5370\u5c3c\u540c\u610f\u5b8c\u5168\u6d88\u9664\u5173\u7a0e\u3002\u7eb3\u74e6\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u300c\u5982\u679c\u6cf0\u56fd\u88ab\u8feb\u91c7\u7528\u5370\u5c3c\u7684\u7a0e\u7387\u516c\u5f0f\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002\u8fd9\u5c06\u6bd4\u672c\u5730\u91c7\u8d2d\u8981\u6c42\u66f4\u56f0\u96be\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6cf0\u56fd\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u987a\u5dee\u6bd4\u5370\u5c3c\u66f4\u9ad8\uff0c\u4f46\u4ed6\u4eec\u5374\u540c\u610f\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u6761\u4ef6\u3002\u300d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u5370\u5c3c\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u5e02\u573a\u4f9d\u8d56\u7a0b\u5ea6\u8f83\u4f4e\uff0c\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\u8d8a\u5357\u51fa\u53e3\u8d85\u8fc730%\u4f9d\u8d56\u7f8e\u56fd\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u800c\u6cf0\u56fd\u4ec518%\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u4f9d\u8d56\u7f8e\u56fd\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u7eb3\u74e6\u6f84\u6e05\uff0cFTI\u4f1a\u63a5\u53d7\u67d0\u4e9b\u4ea7\u54c1\u7c7b\u522b\u76840%\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u5982\u7f8e\u56fd\u6709\u80fd\u529b\u751f\u4ea7\u9ad8\u54c1\u8d28\u836f\u54c1\u7684\u533b\u836f\u4e1a\u3002\u4f46\u4ed6\u5f3a\u8c03\uff0c\u5316\u5b66\u54c1\u7b49\u9700\u8981\u9ad8\u6295\u8d44\u4e14\u6b63\u5728\u4ea7\u4e1a\u8f6c\u578b\u7684\u90e8\u95e8\uff0c\u4e0d\u5e94\u5c06\u5173\u7a0e\u964d\u81f30%\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u6cf0\u56fd\u592e\u884c(Bank of Thailand, BOT)\u603b\u88c1<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u585e\u5854\u666e\u00b7\u82cf\u63d0\u74e6\u7279\u7eb3\u9c81\u57c3\u666e\u7279<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(Sethaput Suthiwartnarueput)\u63d0\u51fa\u66f4\u4e3a\u5168\u9762\u7684\u8bc4\u4f30\u89c2\u70b9\u3002\u4ed6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5728\u8c08\u5224\u6b63\u5f0f\u7ec6\u8282\u786e\u5b9a\u524d\uff0c\u65e0\u6cd5\u8bc4\u4f30\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5173\u7a0e\u5bf9\u6cf0\u56fd\u7684\u5168\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u521d\u671f\u9762\u4e34\u9ad8\u5173\u7a0e\u540e\uff0c\u7ecf\u8c08\u5224\u90fd\u6709\u6240\u964d\u4f4e\uff0c\u6cf0\u56fd\u5e94\u4e89\u53d6\u5173\u7a0e\u51cf\u514d\u548c\u53d7\u5f71\u54cd\u8005\u7684\u7f13\u89e3\u63aa\u65bd\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u585e\u5854\u666e\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5173\u7a0e\u5bf9\u8d38\u6613\u548c\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u5c06\u4f53\u73b0\u5728\u4e09\u5927\u90e8\u95e8\u3002\u9996\u5148\u662f\u5bf9\u7f8e\u51fa\u53e3\u5546\uff0c\u5176\u5f71\u54cd\u7a0b\u5ea6\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u5173\u7a0e\u8c08\u5224\u7ed3\u679c\u3002\u7b2c\u4e8c\u7c7b\u662f\u8f6c\u79fb\u6548\u5e94\uff0c\u5373\u56e0\u65e0\u6cd5\u8fdb\u5165\u7f8e\u56fd\u5e02\u573a\u800c\u53ef\u80fd\u6d8c\u5165\u6cf0\u56fd\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u4ed6\u56fd\u4ea7\u54c1\u3002\u7b2c\u4e09\u7c7b\u662f\u6613\u53d7\u51b2\u51fb\u4ea7\u4e1a\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u4e0e\u4e2d\u5c0f\u4f01\u4e1a\u5bc6\u5207\u76f8\u5173\u4e14\u8f83\u5927\u578b\u51fa\u53e3\u5bfc\u5411\u4f01\u4e1a\u66f4\u5bb9\u6613\u53d7\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u670d\u88c5\u3001\u5bb6\u5177\u3001\u7535\u8111\u548c\u7535\u5b50\u7b49\u4ea7\u4e1a\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u592e\u884c\u5df2\u4e0e\u5404\u90e8\u95e8\u6301\u7eed\u8ba8\u8bba\uff0c\u786e\u4fdd\u653f\u5e9c\u548c\u6c11\u95f4\u90e8\u95e8\u534f\u529b\u5408\u4f5c\u3002\u5173\u4e8e\u5229\u7387\u548c\u6c47\u7387\u62c5\u5fe7\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u5df2\u5728\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a(Monetary Policy Committee, MPC)\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e2d\u5904\u7406\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8bae\u9898\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u8054\u660c\u6cf0\u56fd\u94f6\u884c\u6267\u884c\u526f\u603b\u88c1\u517c\u7814\u7a76\u4e3b\u7ba1\u963f\u8499\u6cf0\u666e\u00b7\u67e5\u74e6\u62c9(Amonthep Chawla)\u63d0\u51fa\u8f83\u4e3a\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u5206\u6790\u3002\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\u867d\u7136\u60c5\u51b5\u7d27\u8feb\uff0c\u4f46\u6cf0\u56fd\u4e0d\u9700\u8981\u5b8c\u5168\u8ddf\u968f\u8d8a\u5357\u548c\u5370\u5c3c\u7684\u6b65\u4f10\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6bcf\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7ed3\u6784\u4e0d\u540c\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u4ed6\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u300c\u6cf0\u56fd\u7684\u519c\u4e1a\u90e8\u95e8\u66f4\u8106\u5f31\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7ed3\u6784\u66f4\u590d\u6742\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u7a0e\u7387\u8c03\u964d\u5e94\u8003\u8651\u5bf9\u5404\u90e8\u95e8\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u519c\u4e1a\u548c\u4e2d\u5c0f\u4f01\u4e1a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u90e8\u95e8\u4ecd\u4f9d\u8d56\u4fdd\u62a4\u63aa\u65bd\u3002\u300d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u963f\u8499\u6cf0\u666e\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u6cf0\u56fd\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u9700\u8981\u50cf\u8d8a\u5357\u6216\u5370\u5c3c\u90a3\u6837\u5927\u5e45\u51cf\u7a0e\uff0c\u4f46\u5e94\u4e89\u53d6\u964d\u81f336%\u4ee5\u4e0b\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u6cf0\u56fd\u9700\u8981\u627e\u5230\u66f4\u591a\u7ade\u4e89\u4f18\u52bf\uff0c\u5386\u53f2\u8bc1\u660e\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5de5\u8d44\u548c\u7535\u8d39\u8f83\u9ad8\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u4ecd\u9009\u62e9\u6295\u8d44\u6cf0\u56fd\u3002\u8bb8\u591a\u4ea7\u4e1a\u4ecd\u89c6\u6cf0\u56fd\u4e3a\u5f3a\u52b2\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u80fd\u5efa\u7acb\u7ade\u4e89\u4f18\u52bf\u7684\u90e8\u95e8\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5148\u8fdb\u7535\u5b50\u4ea7\u4e1a\u3001\u533b\u7597\u8bbe\u5907\u5236\u9020\u3001\u56fd\u5185\u5f00\u53d1\u7684\u7535\u52a8\u8f66\u3001\u52a0\u5de5\u98df\u54c1\u4e1a\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u73b0\u4ee3\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u7b49\u9886\u57df\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u963f\u8499\u6cf0\u666e\u5efa\u8bae\uff0c\u300c\u53d7\u5f71\u54cd\u8005\u5fc5\u987b\u83b7\u5f97\u653f\u5e9c\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u5b9e\u65bd\u7f13\u89e3\u63aa\u65bd\u5e2e\u52a9\u4ed6\u4eec\u9002\u5e94\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u521b\u5efa\u65b0\u4ea7\u4e1a\u3002\u6211\u76f8\u4fe1\u6cf0\u56fd\u8fd8\u4e0d\u7b97\u592a\u8fdf\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6211\u4eec\u613f\u610f\u8c03\u6574\u5e76\u660e\u786e\u5b9a\u4f4d\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u6210\u957f\u53ef\u80fd\u6bd4\u5feb\u901f\u51cf\u7a0e\u56fd\u5bb6\u6162\uff0c\u4f46\u53ea\u8981\u77e5\u9053\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u4e0e\u4ec0\u4e48\u7ade\u4e89\u3001\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u4f18\u52bf\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48\u3001\u5982\u4f55\u89e3\u51b3\u5f31\u70b9\uff0c\u6cf0\u56fd\u4ecd\u6709\u673a\u4f1a\u3002\u300d\uff08\u5ef6\u4f38\u770b\uff1a<a href=\"https:\/\/visionthai.net\/zh-hans\/article\/thaksin-leads-trump-tariff-response-thailand-rescue-package\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u6cf0\u56fd\u91cd\u7a0e\u5012\u6570\uff01\u4ed6\u4fe1\u4eb2\u81ea\u6307\u6325\u8c08\u5224<\/a>\uff09<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5404\u754c\u5bf9\u8c08\u5224\u7b56\u7565\u6709\u4e0d\u540c\u770b\u6cd5\uff0c\u4f46\u4e13\u5bb6\u4eec\u8fbe\u6210\u51e0\u4e2a\u5171\u8bc6\u3002\u9996\u5148\u662f\u4e0d\u80fd\u76f2\u76ee\u8ddf\u968f\u90bb\u56fd\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6bcf\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7ed3\u6784\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u5ba2\u5236\u5316\u7b56\u7565\u3002\u5176\u6b21\u662f\u9700\u8981\u5b8c\u5584\u7f13\u89e3\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u4fdd\u62a4\u53d7\u51b2\u51fb\u7684\u4e2d\u5c0f\u4f01\u4e1a\u548c\u519c\u4e1a\u90e8\u95e8\u3002\u7b2c\u4e09\u662f\u53d1\u5c55\u6bd4\u8f83\u4f18\u52bf\uff0c\u805a\u7126\u6cf0\u56fd\u5177\u5907\u7ade\u4e89\u529b\u7684\u4ea7\u4e1a\u9886\u57df\u3002\u6700\u540e\u662f\u65f6\u95f4\u4ecd\u6709\u673a\u4f1a\uff0c\u5173\u952e\u5728\u4e8e\u660e\u786e\u5b9a\u4f4d\u548c\u7b56\u7565\u6267\u884c\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u8fd9\u573a\u8d38\u6613\u8c08\u5224\u5c06\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u6cf0\u56fd\u672a\u6765\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u5728\u5168\u7403\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u91cd\u7ec4\u7684\u5927\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u6cf0\u56fd\u5982\u4f55\u5728\u5f00\u653e\u4e0e\u4fdd\u62a4\u4e4b\u95f4\u627e\u5230\u6700\u9002\u5e73\u8861\u70b9\uff0c\u5c06\u51b3\u5b9a\u5176\u5728\u533a\u57df\u7ade\u4e89\u4e2d\u7684\u5730\u4f4d\u3002\uff08\u5ef6\u4f38\u770b\uff1a<a href=\"https:\/\/visionthai.net\/zh-hans\/article\/thailand-boi-measures-trump-tariffs-trade-war\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u6cf0\u56fdBOI\u63a85\u5927\u63aa\u65bd\u5e94\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u5173\u7a0e<\/a>\uff09<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u6838\u7a3f\uff1a\u9648\u97e6\u5982<\/p>\n<p>\u5c01\u9762\u6765\u6e90\uff1a\u7f51\u8def\u5408\u56fe<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><span class=\"hidefeed\">\u770b\u66f4\u591a<\/span><span class=\"hidefeed\"><a href=\"https:\/\/visionthai.net\/zh-hans\/topic\/thailand-news-cn\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u6cf0\u56fd\u65b0\u95fb<\/a><\/span><span class=\"hidefeed\">\u76f8\u5173<\/span><\/p>\n<ul class=\"relatedArticles\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/visionthai.net\/zh-hans\/article\/thailand-faces-fdi-crisis-trade-deals\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u8d8a\u5357\u5370\u5c3c\u62a2\u5148\u8fbe\u6210\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u8bae\uff01\u6cf0\u56fd\u9762\u4e34\u5916\u8d44\u6d41\u5931\u5371\u673a<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/visionthai.net\/zh-hans\/article\/thailand-boi-measures-trump-tariffs-trade-war\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5173\u7a0e\u5a01\u80c1\u4e0b\u6cf0\u56fd\u51fa\u62db\uff01BOI\u63a85\u5927\u63aa\u65bd\u5e94\u5bf9<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/visionthai.net\/zh-hans\/article\/trump-imposes-36-percent-tariffs-thailand-14-countries\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u6cf0\u56fd\u906d\u7279\u6717\u666e\u8bfe\u5f8136%\u91cd\u7a0e\uff018\u6708\u751f\u6548\u521714\u56fd\u5236\u88c1\u540d\u5355 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href=\"https:\/\/visionthai.net\/zh-hans\/article\/bangkok-best-parks-walking-guide\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">7\u5927\u66fc\u8c37\u516c\u56ed\u6563\u6b65\u6307\u5357\uff1a\u5929\u9e45\u8239\u6e38\u6e56\u3001\u5047\u65e5\u9650\u5b9a\u6c34\u4e0a\u5e02\u573a<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/visionthai.net\/zh-hans\/article\/bangkok-thonglor-day-trip-guide\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u66fc\u8c37\u901a\u7f57\u533a\u4e00\u65e5\u6e38\uff01\u6f6e\u4eba\u6700\u72317\u5927\u5fc5\u901b\u5fc5\u5403<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p> &#8230; <a title=\"\u6cf0\u56fd\u8d38\u6613\u8c08\u5224\u5206\u6b67\uff01\u4ea7\u4e1a\u754c\u5fe7\u8ba9\u6b65\u3001\u4e13\u5bb6\u5401\u53d1\u5c55\u4f18\u52bf\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/visionthai.net\/zh-hans\/article\/thailand-trade-experts-analysis-tariff-competitiveness\/\" aria-label=\"\u9605\u8bfb 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